At $X/year, where does portfolio FCI trend? Each scenario carries a seeded 10-year FCI trajectory (FCI = deferred-maintenance backlog ÷ current replacement value). Lower FCI is better.
Cost of deferral — Maritime
Under Maritime: Constrained funding ($42.4M/yr), the deferred-maintenance backlog still stands at $424M in FY2036 (FCI 11.8%, Poor). Maritime: Accelerated funding ($152M/yr) retires it to $0 — a $424M backlog left on the books by under-funding.
Projected portfolio FCI (backlog ÷ CRV) over 10 years at each funding level. Lower is better. Pick up to three scenarios to overlay.
FCI bands (GLOSSARY): Good <5% · Fair 5–10% · Poor 10–30% · Critical ≥30%. Curves render seeded capital_scenario_years values — trajectories are not recomputed in the browser.
| Year | Maritime: Constrained Maritime | Maritime: Baseline Maritime | Maritime: Accelerated Maritime | BAT: Baseline Brooklyn Army Terminal | BAT: Accelerated Brooklyn Army Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2027 | 11.68% | 10.50% | 8.61% | 4.02% |
Trajectories are seeded in capital_scenario_years (funding level → projected portfolio FCI = backlog ÷ CRV each year) — rendered as stored, not recomputed. Scenarios are modeled from EDC's seeded condition backlog and replacement values.
| FY2028 | 11.70% | 9.33% | 5.55% | 3.35% | 1.35% |
| FY2029 | 11.72% | 8.17% | 2.49% | 2.68% | 0.00% |
| FY2030 | 11.73% | 7.00% | 0.00% | 2.02% | 0.00% |
| FY2031 | 11.75% | 5.83% | 0.00% | 1.35% | 0.00% |
| FY2032 | 11.77% | 4.67% | 0.00% | 0.68% | 0.00% |
| FY2033 | 11.78% | 3.50% | 0.00% | 0.01% | 0.00% |
| FY2034 | 11.80% | 2.33% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| FY2035 | 11.82% | 1.17% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| FY2036 | 11.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |